What to Expect in Global Commercial Insurance Market Growth

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Global commercial property/casualty insurance premiums were worth approximately $730 billion in 2017 and by 2021 will rise to almost $900 billion.

U.S. commercial P/C insurance premiums were worth $274.5 billion in 2017 and are forecast to rise to $331.5 billion in 2021.

Those figures are from market reports from Aon Inpoint, insurance broker Aon’s data analytics and consulting team, which looked at where premium growth is likely to happen in coming years.

Aon analysts contend that by 2021 the most rapid growth of premiums will be seen in cyber insurance products.

In addition, they expect the financial institutions, mining and minerals, and technology and media sectors will expand rapidly in comparison to other industry segments.

Aon’s series of global studies looked at insurance purchased by corporate, public sector and not-for-profit organizations between 2013 and 2017 and forecasted trends into 2021.

Over the past five years, cyber premiums have grown significantly at 23 percent annually. By 2021, Aon predicts that worldwide cyber premiums will be worth $4 billion, a compound annual growth rate of 14.1 percent.

“As we look ahead, we are seeing a broad shift of companies putting a greater value on intangible assets, such as cyber and intellectual property,” said Michael Moran, CEO of Aon Inpoint.

Moran said there are multiple reasons for the increased focus and increased premiums ranging from financial statement protection due to a business interruption to the evolving global regulatory environment including the European Union’s General Data Protection Regulation.

Across all types of commercial P/C insurance, the manufacturing segment generated the highest premiums worldwide in 2017, worth approximately $111 billion. Following manufacturing came agriculture, fishing and forestry at $72 billion, boosted by the huge value of this segment in China and the U.S.

While manufacturing will remain strong, premiums bought by financial institutions, the mining and minerals sector, and technology and media firms are expected to increase most rapidly through to 2021 with an annual growth rate of around 6 percent in each case.

Additional observations from Aon’s analysts:

  • Among the larger product categories, premiums for commercial auto insurance worldwide grew the fastest from 2013-2017 reaching $192 billion in 2017.
  • Globally, workers’ compensation premiums stood at $83 billion, mainly due to their vast size in the U.S., having increased from $71 billion in 2013.
  • Around $97 billion of the global commercial lines market is bought by micro enterprises (comprising self-employed individuals and entities with up to nine employees).

Moran sad that there is no a standardized data set that describes the size and segmentation of commercial lines insurance but that his firm’s “research, which segments the global market in detail by product, industry and client size, fills an important gap, and can be used by insurers to identify new underwriting opportunities worldwide.”


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